Publications

* = contributed analysis as co-author

Publications Under Review

Johnson, A. M., Loikith, P. C., & Kalashnikov, D. A. Seasonal and Regional Synoptic-Scale Meteorological Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation Over the Contiguous United States. (in review at Journal of Climate)

Kumar, M., Abatzoglou, J. T., Kalashnikov, D. A., Sadegh M., & Kolden, C. A. Compound heatwave drought conditions amplify global fire activity. (in revision at Geophysical Research Letters)

Abatzoglou, J. T., Hegewisch, K. C., Yin, C., & *Kalashnikov, D. A. TerraClimate v1.1, An Updated Global Climate and Climatic Water Balance Dataset with Climate Scenarios. (in revision at Scientific Data)

Abatzoglou, J. T., Williams, E. L., *Kalashnikov, D. A., et al. San Joaquin Valley Region Report. California’s Fifth Climate Change Assessment. California Natural Resources Agency. (in review)

Slonosky, V. C., *Kalashnikov, D. A., & Mock, C. J. Years without summers and catastrophic floods: using archival observations and reanalysis data to understand extreme climate events in North America. In: Changing Climates, Changing Histories. Dumbarton Oaks/Harvard University Press. (in press)

2026

Zhu, Y., Kalashnikov, D. A., Lapierre, J., DiGangi, E., & Ringhausen, J. (2026). The Role of Lightning and Environmental Conditions in Lightning-Ignited Wildfires in the Contiguous United States. Fire, 9(9), 384.

Abatzoglou, J. T. & Kalashnikov, D. A. (2026). Observed and projected contribution of cutoff lows to global precipitation. Environmental Research: Climate, 5(3), 035034.

Kalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., & Stansfield, A. M. (2026). Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Hourly Precipitation Extremes in the Contiguous United States. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(12), e2026GL122815.

Kalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Williams, E. L., Yin, C., Gurazada, M., Kumar, M., Thomas, A. P., & Ebiendele, P. E. (2026). Heatwaves enable wildfire activity in the western United States. Science Advances, 12(25), aea1277.

- Select coverage: Washington Post, Arizona Republic, The Conversation

Kalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., & Swain, D. L. (2026). Climatology and trends of annual maximum subdaily precipitation in the western United States. Weather and Climate Extremes, 53, 100915.

Loikith, P. C., Bigalke, S., Taylor, G. P., Kalashnikov, D. A., Singh, D., & Laverty, A (2026). A Climatology of Heat Domes Over North America. Weather and Climate Extremes, 53, 100913.

Bai, X., Kalashnikov, D. A., Loikith, P., Bigalke, S., Mitchell, A., Ting, M., Bosart, L. F., & Singh, D. (2026). Effects of Recurving Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones on Downstream Ridges over Pacific-Western North America. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(10), e2025GL120410.

Bekris, Y. S., Ting, M., Singh, D., & Kalashnikov, D. A. (2026). Distinct Characteristics of Contiguous Heatwaves Across Terrestrial, Marine, and Coastal Environments. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(7), e2025GL118531.

Bai, X., Loikith, P. C., Kalashnikov, D. A., Bigalke, S., Liu, P., & Singh, D. (2026). Influence of ENSO on the seasonal and extreme characteristics of ridges over Pacific-Western North American region. Climate Dynamics, 64(4).

2025

Kalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Davenport, F. V., Labe, Z. M., Loikith, P. C., Touma, D., & Singh, D. (2025). Projections of Lightning-Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States. Earth’s Future, 13(8), e2025EF006108.

- Select coverage: AGU Press Release, The Guardian, NY Times

Kalashnikov, D. A., Singh, D., Ting, M., & Cook, B. I. (2025). Contributions of Atmospheric Ridging and Low Soil Moisture to the Record-Breaking June 2023 Mexico-Texas Heatwave. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(5), e2025GL114987.

2024

Kalashnikov, D. A., Davenport, F. V., Labe, Z. M., Loikith, P. C., Abatzoglou, J. T., & Singh, D. (2024). Predicting Cloud-to-Ground Lightning in the Western United States from the Large-Scale Environment using Explainable Neural Networks. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129(22), e2024JD042147.

- Top-10% most viewed paper of 2024 in JGR: Atmospheres

Singh, D., Bekris, Y., Rogers, C. D. W., Doss-Gollin, J., Coffel, E. D., & Kalashnikov, D. A. (2024). Enhanced solar and wind potential during widespread temperature extremes across the U.S. interconnected energy grids. Environmental Research Letters, 19(4), 044018.

2023

Swain, D. L., Abatzoglou, J. T., Kolden, C., Shive, K., *Kalashnikov, D. A., Singh, D., & Smith, E. (2023). Climate change is narrowing and shifting prescribed fire windows in western United States. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 340.

Kalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Loikith, P. C., Nauslar, N. J., Bekris, Y., & Singh, D. (2023). Lightning-Ignited Wildfires in the Western United States: Ignition Precipitation and Associated Environmental Conditions. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(16), e2023GL103785.

- Select coverage: Editor’s Highlight, San Francisco Chronicle

- Top-10% most viewed paper of 2023 in Geophysical Research Letters

Loikith, P. C. & *Kalashnikov, D. A. (2023). Meteorological Analysis of the Pacific Northwest June 2021 Heat Wave. Monthly Weather Review, 151(5), 1303-1319.

Kalashnikov, D. A. “Lightning-Caused Wildfires” and “Compounded Health Effects of Fine Particulate Matter and Surface Ozone”. In: Fleishman, E., editor. (2023). 6th Oregon Climate Assessment. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon.

2022

Kalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Nauslar, N. J., Swain, D. L., Touma, D., & Singh, D. (2022). Meteorological and geographical factors associated with dry lightning in central and northern California. Environmental Research: Climate, 1(2), 025001.

- Select coverage: Washington Post, CNN, BBC, CBS News, The Weather Channel

Touma, D., Stevenson, S., Swain, D. L., Singh, D., Kalashnikov, D. A., & Huang, X. (2022). Climate change increases risk of extreme rainfall following wildfire in the western United States. Science Advances, 8(13), abm0320.

Kalashnikov, D. A., Schnell, J. L., Abatzoglou, J. T., Swain, D. L., & Singh, D. (2022). Increasing co-occurrence of fine particulate matter and ground-level ozone extremes in the western United States. Science Advances, 8(1), eabi9386.

- Select coverage: NY Times, New Scientist, Atmos

2020

Kalashnikov, D. A., Loikith, P. C., Catalano, A. J., Waliser, D. E., Lee, H., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2020). A 30-Yr Climatology of Meteorological Conditions Associated with Lightning Days in the Interior Western United States. Journal of Climate, 33(9), 3771-3785.